BTC / USD
BTC Hourly Price Prediction
Every hour, we generate a BTC end-of-hour price prediction within a ±$100 win range using Kalshi prediction market probabilities, Polymarket cross-reference, and real-time technical analysis. We track every call — wins, losses, and how close we got.
AI Direction · BTC · Hourly
Partial data (2)
⚠ STALE
conf
0%
edge
—
vs kalshi
—
[STALE] abstain: kalshi market unavailable (no above-style hourly market resolves at 2026-07-30T02:00:00+00:00)
Track record: 582W–486L · 54%
Generated 3.7 hr ago
Resolves 02:00 UTC
End-of-Hour Prediction
$64,036
Win range: $63,936 – $64,136 (±$100)
↑ $18 from $64,018 at prediction time
--:--
until hour end
Created
9:13 PM PDT
24H Sentiment
▲ Bullish
189 above vs 1 below markets
TA Trend (24H)
▶ Neutral
EMA20 < EMA50 · RSI 51
Support / Resistance
$63,978 – $64,031
Support: EMA20 · Resistance: EMA50
Suggested Entry (Buy)
$63,978
Near support · SL $63,373 · TP $64,031
Track Record
Predictions
2250
all-time
Wins
1297
within ±$100
Losses
953
Win Rate
57.6%
Avg Closeness
$164
avg miss
Streak
2 wins
Win = actual BTC price at hour end within ±$100 of prediction. See full history →
Model Self-Calibration · 2276 predictions learned
Confidence Offset
-7.9%
global calibration
↑ Up Bias
-1.2%
WR 60% · 1398 preds
↓ Down Bias
-2.3%
WR 55% · 878 preds
TA Boost
+0.9%
aligned 58% vs 56%
Last update 7:09 PM PDT: ta_boost 0.015→0.009 (aligned WR 58% vs opposed 56%)