BTC / USD
BTC Hourly Price Prediction
Every hour, we generate a BTC end-of-hour price prediction within a ±$100 win range using Kalshi prediction market probabilities, Polymarket cross-reference, and real-time technical analysis. We track every call — wins, losses, and how close we got.
End-of-Hour Prediction
$74,300
Win range: $74,200 – $74,400 (±$100)
↓ $4 from $74,304 at prediction time
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until hour end
Created
6:36 PM PDT
24H Sentiment
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fetching market data
TA Trend (24H)
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fetching indicators
Support / Resistance
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Suggested Entry (Buy)
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Track Record
Predictions
28
all-time
Wins
20
within ±$100
Losses
8
Win Rate
71.4%
Avg Closeness
$88
avg miss
Streak
1 wins
Win = actual BTC price at hour end within ±$100 of prediction. See full history →
Model Self-Calibration · 54 predictions learned
Confidence Offset
-1.4%
global calibration
↑ Up Bias
+3.8%
WR 80% · 10 preds
↓ Down Bias
+5.4%
WR 86% · 44 preds
TA Boost
+2.0%
aligned 85% vs 80%
Last update 6:07 PM PDT: ta_boost 0.029→0.020 (aligned WR 85% vs opposed 80%)